Political Crossfire Forums • Super Tuesday • General Discussion

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Political Crossfire Forums • Super Tuesday • General Discussion

Page 1 of 1

Super Tuesday

Posted: Tue Mar 05, 2024 1:17 pm

by John Galt

The thing I'm looking forward to seeing is how bad the polls are

I suspect there will be at least 10pt spread being off, maybe even close to 20pts across these races.

Here's 538 final ratings

AR, AK, CO no recent polls
AL recent is + 75 Trump (76 - 12) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... 4/alabama/
CA average is + 57.2 Trump (75.6 - 18.4) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... alifornia/
ME recent is + 58 trump (77-19) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... 024/maine/
MA average is +36.8 Trump (66.6 - 29.3) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... achusetts/
MN recent is +64 Trump (79-15) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... minnesota/
NC average is + 45.4 Trump (68.6 - 23.0) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... -carolina/
OK recent is +77 Trump (88-11) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... /oklahoma/
TN average is +69.1 Trump (84.4 - 15.3) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... tennessee/
TX average is +64.5 Trump (79.4 - 14.9) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... 024/texas/
VT recent is + 30 Trump (61 - 31) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... 4/vermont/
VA average is +48.7 Trump (65.2 - 16.5) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... /virginia/
While Utah has a caucus there is polling available, recently +27 Trump (49 - 22) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... 2024/utah/