2020 Election

[Saz]

[Spider]

[Saz]

[John Galt]

while certainly interesting the exit polls showed that trump improved in every demo except white men, i'm not sure how valuable those are for 2020: the year we mailed it in

[Spider]

[Spider]

[Kane]

FiveThirtyEight used probabilistic systems:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... id=rrpromo

If you hover over the states in the snake trail you can see their projections state by state - these were off especially in Michigan and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania is currently the reverse of their projections - votes are still pending there.

The National polls should be compared against total voters - we'll see what that shows us once all votes are counted.

With fivethirtyeight's graph showcasing Trumps odds at 1 in 10, not as good as 2016 but still up there, people are having a hard time with this coming down to the wire yet again. I get that they can say it's a probabilistic system and that this still falls in line with their projections but this falls in the much less probable area of their projections - again. That's annoying.

[Kane]

[Spider]

Great. If you want people to vote for you...call them rapists and terrorists, lock their children in cages, and then try to straight up wall them off. Center your whole administration on being anti-immigration and unabashedly xenophobic...and then watch Latinx turn out in record numbers for you.

Gotta hand it to trump. Everything is so reliably goddamn opposite with him. Only thing that's made any sense is that shitting on John McCain's grave seems to have pissed of somebody in Arizona.

[Saz]